Today / Iberia vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Iberia vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Iberia

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Torpedo Kutaisi

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-111.9%0-25.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.0%1-113.4%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.4%2-17.5%2-23.3%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-12.8%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.8% — — —

Draw 31.1% — — —

Away win 27.1% — — —

Over 2.5 42.3% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.2%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.4%

#2 1–1✓ 13.4%

#3 1–0 15.0%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Iberia1.1

Torpedo Kutaisi0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.3% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

IBERIA · PPG 2.00

TORPEDO KUTAISI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=41.8%

Win probability 1X2

Iberia (H) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Torpedo Kutaisi (A) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Iberia face Torpedo Kutaisi on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Iberia a 42% chance, the draw 31% and Torpedo Kutaisi 27%, so Iberia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Iberia and 0.9 for Torpedo Kutaisi (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Iberia are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Torpedo Kutaisi. This match finished 1-1.

Iberia vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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