Today / Ismaning vs Landsberg

Ismaning vs Landsberg Prediction

Bayern Süd - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Ismaning logo
Ismaning
PPG 1.67 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Landsberg logo
Landsberg
PPG 1.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-13.0%0-24.1%0-33.7%0-4+4.7%1 1-02.0%1-15.4%1-27.3%1-36.6%1-4+8.5%2 2-01.8%2-14.8%2-26.6%2-35.9%2-4+7.7%3 3-01.1%3-12.9%3-23.9%3-33.5%3-4+4.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-12.0%4+-22.7%4+-32.4%4+-4+3.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 24.9%
Draw 17.9%
Away win 57.2%
Over 2.5 82.6%
Over 3.5 65.8%
BTTS 77.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 66%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob77.8%

A 57% / xG 1.8-2.7 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 78%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.3%
#2 1–3 6.6%
#3 2–2 6.6%
#4 2–3 5.9%
#5 1–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ismaning1.8
Landsberg2.7

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.6% · O3.5 PROB 65.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ISMANING · PPG 1.67

LANDSBERG · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.77)

Win probability 1X2

Ismaning (H) 24.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Landsberg (A) 57.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ismaning face Landsberg on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ismaning a 25% chance, the draw 18% and Landsberg 57%, so Landsberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ismaning and 2.7 for Landsberg (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ismaning are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.77 for Landsberg. This match finished 0-3.

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