Heimstetten vs Erlbach Prediction

Unknown League Bayern Süd - 30 Sportpark Heimstetten· Kirchheim bei München Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:00

Heimstetten PPG 1.77

3-2 MISS

Erlbach PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Heimstetten face Erlbach on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Heimstetten a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Erlbach 22%, so Heimstetten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Heimstetten and 1.1 for Erlbach (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Heimstetten are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.42 for Erlbach. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 22.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 21.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.3% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 34.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 56.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Heimstetten

1.89

Erlbach

1.09

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.77) > Away AVERAGE (1.42)