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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:30 
Ourense CF PPG 1.65 
Celta Vigo B PPG 1.59
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:30 Ourense CF PPG 1.652-4 MISS
Celta Vigo B PPG 1.59Away· +17.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 50.2% Odds: 1.95 -2.1%
Over 3.5 25.9% Odds: 3.50 -5.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.75 -4.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Ourense CF 1.29
Celta Vigo B 1.29
Model Suggestion
BTTS -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+17.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+17.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.65), Away GOOD (1.59)