Today / Honved vs Vasas

Honved vs Vasas Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Honved

PPG 2.14 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Vasas

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.14), Away EXCELLENT (2.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-113.1%0-27.5%0-32.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.6%1-113.4%1-27.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.9%2-16.8%2-23.9%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.0%3-12.3%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 35.9% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 17.6% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.0%

D 28% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 0–1 13.1%

#4 1–0 11.6%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honved1.0

Vasas1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HONVED · PPG 2.14

VASAS · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.14), Away EXCELLENT (2.14)

Win probability 1X2

Honved (H) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vasas (A) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Honved face Vasas on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honved a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Vasas 36%, so Vasas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Honved and 1.2 for Vasas (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honved are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 2.14 for Vasas. This match finished 3-1.

Honved vs Vasas Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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