Today / Meppen B vs LSK Hansa

Meppen B vs LSK Hansa Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Meppen B
PPG 1.91 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
LSK Hansa
PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.91) > Away AVERAGE (1.18)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-17.3%0-23.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.2%1-111.8%1-26.2%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.5%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.8%3-15.1%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.9%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 50.2%
Draw 24.9%
Away win 24.9%
Over 2.5 49.8%
Over 3.5 27.8%
BTTS 52.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-1
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.2%

H 50% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%
#2 1–0 11.2%
#3 2–1 9.5%
#4 2–0 9.0%
#5 0–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meppen B1.6
LSK Hansa1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MEPPEN B · PPG 1.91

LSK HANSA · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.91) > Away AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

Meppen B (H) 50.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
LSK Hansa (A) 24.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meppen B face LSK Hansa on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meppen B a 50% chance, the draw 25% and LSK Hansa 25%, so Meppen B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Meppen B and 1.1 for LSK Hansa (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meppen B are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 1.18 for LSK Hansa. This match finished 3-1.

PredictVantage

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