Today / Weidenhausen vs Giessen

Weidenhausen vs Giessen Prediction

Hessen - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Weidenhausen

PPG 0.77 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Giessen

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-12.1%0-24.2%0-35.6%0-4+16.0%1 1-00.7%1-12.7%1-25.3%1-37.0%1-4+20.1%2 2-00.4%2-11.7%2-23.3%2-34.4%2-4+12.6%3 3-00.2%3-10.7%3-21.4%3-31.8%3-4+5.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 7.0% — — —

Draw 9.1% — — —

Away win 83.9% — — —

Over 2.5 89.3% — — —

Over 3.5 76.5% — — —

BTTS 70.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 87%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)4.0 BTTS prob70.1%

A 84% / xG 1.3-4.0 / O2.5 89% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.0%

#2 1–4 7.0%

#3 0–3 5.6%

#4 0–4 5.6%

#5 1–5 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Weidenhausen1.3

Giessen4.0

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 89.3% · O3.5 PROB 76.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WEIDENHAUSEN · PPG 0.77

GIESSEN · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.29) vs Home POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

Weidenhausen (H) 7.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 9.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Giessen (A) 83.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Weidenhausen face Giessen on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Weidenhausen a 7% chance, the draw 9% and Giessen 84%, so Giessen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Weidenhausen and 4.0 for Giessen (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Weidenhausen are averaging 0.77 points per game versus 1.29 for Giessen. This match finished 3-1.

Weidenhausen vs Giessen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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