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Torreense W vs Damaiense W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:45

Torreense W

PPG 1.88 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Damaiense W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=61.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-12.2%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.3%1-16.2%1-23.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.8%2-18.8%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-18.2%3-24.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-011.5%4+-111.4%4+-25.7%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.8% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 17.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 52.7% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.8%

H 62% / xG 2.8-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 8.8%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 3–0 8.2%

#4 3–1✓ 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torreense W2.8

Damaiense W1.0

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 52.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TORREENSE W · PPG 1.88

DAMAIENSE W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=61.8%

Win probability 1X2

Torreense W (H) 61.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Damaiense W (A) 17.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Torreense W face Damaiense W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torreense W a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Damaiense W 17%, so Torreense W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Torreense W and 1.0 for Damaiense W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torreense W are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.00 for Damaiense W. This match finished 3-1.

Torreense W vs Damaiense W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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