Today / Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women / Valadares G. W vs Rio Ave W

Valadares G. W vs Rio Ave W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 10:00

Valadares G. W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Rio Ave W

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-110.8%0-24.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.0%1-113.1%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.1%2-18.0%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.7%3-13.2%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.0% — — —

Draw 33.4% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 34.9% — — —

Over 3.5 16.0% — — —

BTTS 43.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.1%

H 42% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 1–0 15.0%

#4 2–0 9.1%

#5 0–1✓ 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Valadares G. W1.2

Rio Ave W0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 16.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VALADARES G. W · PPG 1.00

RIO AVE W · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.38)

Win probability 1X2

Valadares G. W (H) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rio Ave W (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Valadares G. W face Rio Ave W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valadares G. W a 42% chance, the draw 33% and Rio Ave W 25%, so Valadares G. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Valadares G. W and 0.9 for Rio Ave W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valadares G. W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.38 for Rio Ave W. This match finished 0-1.

Valadares G. W vs Rio Ave W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

More Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women Predictions