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Sporting W vs Racing Power W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:45

Sporting W

PPG 2.13 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Racing Power W

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=51.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-15.9%0-22.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.0%1-110.4%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.3%2-19.3%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.9%3-15.5%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-13.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 23.8% — — —

BTTS 49.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.0%

H 52% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.0%

#2 2–0 13.3%

#3 1–1 10.4%

#4 0–0✓ 8.4%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporting W1.8

Racing Power W0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTING W · PPG 2.13

RACING POWER W · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=51.6%

Win probability 1X2

Sporting W (H) 51.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Racing Power W (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting W face Racing Power W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting W a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Racing Power W 22%, so Sporting W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sporting W and 0.7 for Racing Power W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting W are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.13 for Racing Power W. This match finished 0-0.

Sporting W vs Racing Power W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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