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Racing Power W vs Braga W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Racing Power W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Braga W

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.63) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-110.6%0-27.7%0-33.8%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.4%1-112.3%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.9%2-17.2%2-25.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.9%3-12.8%3-22.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.2% — — —

Draw 29.6% — — —

Away win 42.2% — — —

Over 2.5 48.8% — — —

Over 3.5 27.0% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.7%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 1–2✓ 9.0%

#4 0–1 10.6%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Power W1.2

Braga W1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING POWER W · PPG 1.00

BRAGA W · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.63) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Racing Power W (H) 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Braga W (A) 42.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Power W face Braga W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Power W a 28% chance, the draw 30% and Braga W 42%, so Braga W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Racing Power W and 1.5 for Braga W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Power W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.63 for Braga W. This match finished 1-2.

Racing Power W vs Braga W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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