Today / Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women / Maritimo W vs Valadares G. W

Maritimo W vs Valadares G. W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:45

Maritimo W logo
Maritimo W
PPG 0.50 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Valadares G. W logo
Valadares G. W
PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-110.4%0-29.6%0-35.9%0-4+4.1%1 1-05.8%1-110.7%1-29.9%1-36.1%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.0%2-15.5%2-25.1%2-33.1%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.9%3-21.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 22.8%
Draw 25.2%
Away win 52.0%
Over 2.5 58.5%
Over 3.5 32.5%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 53%
Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.6%

A 52% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 1–2 9.9%
#3 0–2 9.6%
#4 0–1 10.4%
#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Maritimo W1.0
Valadares G. W1.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MARITIMO W · PPG 0.50

VALADARES G. W · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Maritimo W (H) 22.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Valadares G. W (A) 52.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Maritimo W face Valadares G. W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maritimo W a 23% chance, the draw 25% and Valadares G. W 52%, so Valadares G. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Maritimo W and 1.8 for Valadares G. W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maritimo W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.88 for Valadares G. W. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org