Today / Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women / Rio Ave W vs SL Benfica W

Rio Ave W vs SL Benfica W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:45

Rio Ave W

PPG 1.38 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

SL Benfica W

PPG 2.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-115.0%0-216.6%0-312.2%0-4+11.3%1 1-03.2%1-17.2%1-28.0%1-35.9%1-4+5.4%2 2-00.8%2-11.7%2-21.9%2-31.4%2-4+1.3%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.2% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 66.8% — — —

Over 2.5 52.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.4% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob45.9%

A 67% / xG 0.5-2.2 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 16.6%

#2 0–1✓ 15.0%

#3 0–3 12.2%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rio Ave W0.5

SL Benfica W2.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RIO AVE W · PPG 1.38

SL BENFICA W · PPG 2.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Rio Ave W (H) 11.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SL Benfica W (A) 66.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rio Ave W face SL Benfica W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rio Ave W a 11% chance, the draw 22% and SL Benfica W 67%, so SL Benfica W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Rio Ave W and 2.2 for SL Benfica W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rio Ave W are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 2.75 for SL Benfica W. This match finished 0-1.

Rio Ave W vs SL Benfica W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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