Today / Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women / Torreense W vs Racing Power W

Torreense W vs Racing Power W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:00

Torreense W logo
Torreense W
PPG 1.71 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
Racing Power W logo
Racing Power W
PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-110.6%0-24.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.9%1-113.1%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.2%2-18.1%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.8%3-13.3%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.8%
Draw 32.5%
Away win 26.6%
Over 2.5 44.4%
Over 3.5 16.5%
BTTS 49.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 53%
Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.5%

H 41% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%
#2 0–0 12.0%
#3 1–0 14.9%
#4 2–0 9.2%
#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torreense W1.2
Racing Power W0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 16.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TORREENSE W · PPG 1.71

RACING POWER W · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Torreense W (H) 40.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 32.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Racing Power W (A) 26.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Torreense W face Racing Power W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torreense W a 41% chance, the draw 33% and Racing Power W 27%, so Torreense W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Torreense W and 0.9 for Racing Power W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torreense W are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.29 for Racing Power W. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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