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Vitoria G. W vs Torreense W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 10:00

Vitoria G. W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Torreense W

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.63)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-110.4%0-27.3%0-33.4%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.8%1-112.5%1-28.8%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.3%2-17.5%2-25.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.1%3-13.0%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.2% — — —

Draw 29.9% — — —

Away win 39.9% — — —

Over 2.5 48.3% — — —

Over 3.5 26.6% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

D 30% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0✓ 7.4%

#3 1–2 8.8%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitoria G. W1.2

Torreense W1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.3% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VITORIA G. W · PPG 1.50

TORREENSE W · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.63)

Win probability 1X2

Vitoria G. W (H) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Torreense W (A) 39.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitoria G. W face Torreense W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitoria G. W a 30% chance, the draw 30% and Torreense W 40%, so Torreense W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vitoria G. W and 1.4 for Torreense W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitoria G. W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.63 for Torreense W. This match finished 0-0.

Vitoria G. W vs Torreense W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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