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Braga W vs Vitoria G. W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:45

Braga W

PPG 0.63 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Vitoria G. W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-111.0%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.9%1-113.2%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.9%2-17.9%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.2%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% — — —

Draw 29.4% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 15.9% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.4%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.4%

#3 1–0 14.9%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–0✓ 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Braga W1.2

Vitoria G. W0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 15.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAGA W · PPG 0.63

VITORIA G. W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.63) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Braga W (H) 44.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vitoria G. W (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Braga W face Vitoria G. W in Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Braga W a 44% chance, the draw 29% and Vitoria G. W 26%, so Braga W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Braga W and 0.9 for Vitoria G. W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Braga W are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 1.00 for Vitoria G. W. This match finished 2-0.

Braga W vs Vitoria G. W Prediction— Portugal - 1a Divisão - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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