Today / E. Hohkeppel vs Konigsdorf

E. Hohkeppel vs Konigsdorf Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

E. Hohkeppel

PPG 2.46 · HOME

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Konigsdorf

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.0%0-20.7%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.7%1-13.6%1-22.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.5%2 2-04.8%2-16.4%2-24.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.6%3-17.5%3-25.0%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-012.3%4+-116.5%4+-211.1%4+-34.9%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.4% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 17.3% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 71.7% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-1

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.0%

H 62% / xG 3.5-1.3 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.5%

#2 4–1 6.7%

#3 2–1 6.4%

#4 3–0 5.6%

#5 3–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

E. Hohkeppel3.5

Konigsdorf1.3

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 71.7%

Form & verdict PPG

E. HOHKEPPEL · PPG 2.46

KONIGSDORF · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.46) vs P(Home)=62.4%

Win probability 1X2

E. Hohkeppel (H) 62.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Konigsdorf (A) 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Hohkeppel face Konigsdorf on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Hohkeppel a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Konigsdorf 17%, so E. Hohkeppel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for E. Hohkeppel and 1.3 for Konigsdorf (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Hohkeppel are averaging 2.46 points per game versus 1.17 for Konigsdorf. This match finished 6-1.

E. Hohkeppel vs Konigsdorf Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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