Today / Milford vs Pretoria U.

Milford vs Pretoria U. Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Milford
PPG 2.29 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Pretoria U.
PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=50.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-18.1%0-22.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.3%1-111.7%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-18.5%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.0%3-14.1%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 50.4%
Draw 27.3%
Away win 22.3%
Over 2.5 45.8%
Over 3.5 16.5%
BTTS 48.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.2%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.3%
#2 0–0 12.0%
#3 1–1 11.7%
#4 2–0 12.5%
#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Milford1.4
Pretoria U.0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MILFORD · PPG 2.29

PRETORIA U. · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=50.4%

Win probability 1X2

Milford (H) 50.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Pretoria U. (A) 22.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Milford face Pretoria U. on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milford a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Pretoria U. 22%, so Milford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Milford and 0.7 for Pretoria U. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milford are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.86 for Pretoria U.. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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