Today / Normannia Gmund vs Villingen

Normannia Gmund vs Villingen Prediction

Baden-Württemberg - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Normannia Gmund

PPG 1.38 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Villingen

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-17.5%0-26.0%0-33.2%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.9%1-111.0%1-28.7%1-34.7%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.0%2-26.4%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.4%3-13.9%3-23.1%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.0%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 40.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 61.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.2%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–1 7.5%

#5 1–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Normannia Gmund1.5

Villingen1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NORMANNIA GMUND · PPG 1.38

VILLINGEN · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Normannia Gmund (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Villingen (A) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Normannia Gmund face Villingen on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Normannia Gmund a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Villingen 41%, so Villingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Normannia Gmund and 1.6 for Villingen (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Normannia Gmund are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.23 for Villingen. This match finished 2-2.

Normannia Gmund vs Villingen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions