Today / Montrose W vs Motherwell W

Montrose W vs Motherwell W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Montrose W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Motherwell W

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.91)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.3%0-23.7%0-32.7%0-4+2.5%1 1-03.0%1-16.6%1-27.3%1-35.4%1-4+5.0%2 2-02.9%2-16.5%2-27.2%2-35.4%2-4+5.0%3 3-02.0%3-14.3%3-24.8%3-33.6%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.4%4+-23.8%4+-32.8%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 40.6% — — —

Over 2.5 62.7% — — —

Over 3.5 60.7% — — —

BTTS 66.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob66.5%

A 41% / xG 2.0-2.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.6%

#2 1–2 7.3%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Montrose W2.0

Motherwell W2.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MONTROSE W · PPG 1.00

MOTHERWELL W · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

Montrose W (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Motherwell W (A) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Montrose W face Motherwell W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Montrose W a 36% chance, the draw 24% and Motherwell W 41%, so Motherwell W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Montrose W and 2.2 for Motherwell W (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Montrose W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.91 for Motherwell W. This match finished 1-0.

Montrose W vs Motherwell W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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