Today / Vicenza W vs Verona W

Vicenza W vs Verona W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Vicenza W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Verona W
PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.3%0-23.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.0%1-110.2%1-25.8%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.9%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.6%3-16.4%3-23.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.8%4+-22.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.3%
Draw 25.6%
Away win 25.1%
Over 2.5 59.5%
Over 3.5 36.9%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%
#2 2–1 9.9%
#3 2–0 8.7%
#4 1–0 9.0%
#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vicenza W1.9
Verona W1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VICENZA W · PPG 1.00

VERONA W · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Vicenza W (H) 49.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Verona W (A) 25.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vicenza W face Verona W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vicenza W a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Verona W 25%, so Vicenza W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Vicenza W and 1.1 for Verona W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vicenza W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Verona W. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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