Today / San Marino A. W vs Como W

San Marino A. W vs Como W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

San Marino A. W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Como W

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-18.3%0-210.8%0-39.3%0-4+11.3%1 1-02.7%1-17.0%1-29.1%1-37.9%1-4+9.6%2 2-01.1%2-13.0%2-23.9%2-33.3%2-4+4.1%3 3-00.3%3-10.8%3-21.1%3-30.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 65.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 45.2% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob54.6%

A 66% / xG 0.8-2.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.8%

#2 0–3 9.3%

#3 1–2 9.1%

#4 1–1 7.0%

#5 1–3 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Marino A. W0.8

Como W2.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 45.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN MARINO A. W · PPG 1.00

COMO W · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

San Marino A. W (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Como W (A) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Marino A. W face Como W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Marino A. W a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Como W 66%, so Como W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for San Marino A. W and 2.6 for Como W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Marino A. W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Como W. This match finished 2-0.

San Marino A. W vs Como W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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