Today / Goppinger SV vs Reutlingen

Goppinger SV vs Reutlingen Prediction

Baden-Württemberg - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Goppinger SV logo
Goppinger SV
PPG 1.15 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Reutlingen logo
Reutlingen
PPG 0.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.15), Away POOR (0.85)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-16.3%0-25.1%0-32.8%0-4+1.6%1 1-06.3%1-110.3%1-28.3%1-34.5%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.1%2-18.3%2-26.8%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.8%3-14.5%3-23.6%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.6%4+-22.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.3%
Draw 23.2%
Away win 38.5%
Over 2.5 63.0%
Over 3.5 40.8%
BTTS 64.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob64.5%

A 38% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%
#2 1–2 8.3%
#3 2–1 8.3%
#4 2–2 6.8%
#5 0–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goppinger SV1.6
Reutlingen1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GOPPINGER SV · PPG 1.15

REUTLINGEN · PPG 0.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.15), Away POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

Goppinger SV (H) 38.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Reutlingen (A) 38.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Goppinger SV face Reutlingen on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goppinger SV a 38% chance, the draw 23% and Reutlingen 39%, so Reutlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Goppinger SV and 1.6 for Reutlingen (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goppinger SV are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 0.85 for Reutlingen. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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