Today / Lumezzane W vs Venezia W

Lumezzane W vs Venezia W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Lumezzane W

PPG 2.17 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Venezia W

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-11.5%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.5%1-14.6%1-21.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.4%2-17.4%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.0%3-17.8%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-019.2%4+-113.6%4+-24.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.7% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 8.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.3% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.3%

H 71% / xG 3.2-0.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.0%

#2 2–0 10.4%

#3 4–0 8.7%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lumezzane W3.2

Venezia W0.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LUMEZZANE W · PPG 2.17

VENEZIA W · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Lumezzane W (H) 70.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Venezia W (A) 8.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lumezzane W face Venezia W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lumezzane W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Venezia W 9%, so Lumezzane W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Lumezzane W and 0.7 for Venezia W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lumezzane W are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.67 for Venezia W. This match finished 3-4.

Lumezzane W vs Venezia W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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