Today / Arezzo W vs Trastevere W

Arezzo W vs Trastevere W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Arezzo W

PPG 1.17 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Trastevere W

PPG 0.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.58)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-17.1%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.8%1-111.6%1-25.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.6%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.2%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-13.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 46.6% — — —

Over 3.5 25.4% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.3%

H 49% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 12.8%

#3 2–0 10.5%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Arezzo W1.6

Trastevere W0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AREZZO W · PPG 1.17

TRASTEVERE W · PPG 0.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.58)

Win probability 1X2

Arezzo W (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trastevere W (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Arezzo W face Trastevere W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arezzo W a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Trastevere W 25%, so Arezzo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Arezzo W and 0.9 for Trastevere W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arezzo W are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.58 for Trastevere W. This match finished 3-1.

Arezzo W vs Trastevere W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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