Today / Hanauer SC vs KSV Baunatal

Hanauer SC vs KSV Baunatal Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Hanauer SC
PPG 1.29 · HOME
4 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
KSV Baunatal
PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-16.5%0-26.9%0-34.9%0-4+4.3%1 1-04.1%1-18.8%1-29.4%1-36.7%1-4+5.8%2 2-02.8%2-16.0%2-26.4%2-34.6%2-4+4.0%3 3-01.3%3-12.7%3-22.9%3-32.1%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 25.3%
Draw 24.7%
Away win 50.0%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Over 3.5 46.2%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-2
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob58.8%

A 50% / xG 1.4-2.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%
#2 1–2 9.4%
#3 0–2 6.9%
#4 1–3 6.7%
#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hanauer SC1.4
KSV Baunatal2.1

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 46.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HANAUER SC · PPG 1.29

KSV BAUNATAL · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.29) vs Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Hanauer SC (H) 25.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
KSV Baunatal (A) 50.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hanauer SC face KSV Baunatal on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hanauer SC a 25% chance, the draw 25% and KSV Baunatal 50%, so KSV Baunatal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hanauer SC and 2.1 for KSV Baunatal (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hanauer SC are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.60 for KSV Baunatal. This match finished 4-2.

PredictVantage

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