Today / Germany - Regionalliga - Nord / St. Pauli B vs Hamburger SV B
St. Pauli B vs Hamburger SV B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord
North - 33 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 48 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
A 46% / xG 1.2-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%
Form & verdict
ST. PAULI B · PPG 0.75
HAMBURGER SV B · PPG 1.38
Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs Home POOR (0.75)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
St. Pauli B face Hamburger SV B in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Pauli B a 27% chance, the draw 27% and Hamburger SV B 46%, so Hamburger SV B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for St. Pauli B and 1.9 for Hamburger SV B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Pauli B are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.38 for Hamburger SV B. This match finished 1-1.