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Bremer SV vs Oldenburg Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 33 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Bremer SV

PPG 1.80 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Oldenburg

PPG 2.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.2%0-26.5%0-33.8%0-4+2.6%1 1-05.8%1-110.3%1-29.2%1-35.5%1-4+3.7%2 2-04.1%2-17.3%2-26.5%2-33.9%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.9%3-13.5%3-23.1%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 40.9% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 39.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob58.8%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.3%

#4 2–2✓ 6.5%

#5 0–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bremer SV1.4

Oldenburg1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BREMER SV · PPG 1.80

OLDENBURG · PPG 2.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.80) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.19)

Win probability 1X2

Bremer SV (H) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oldenburg (A) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bremer SV face Oldenburg in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bremer SV a 34% chance, the draw 25% and Oldenburg 41%, so Oldenburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bremer SV and 1.8 for Oldenburg (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bremer SV are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.19 for Oldenburg. This match finished 2-2.

Bremer SV vs Oldenburg Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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