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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 27 Zirka Stadium· Kropyvnytsky Sunday, May 10, 2026 12:30
SK Poltava logo SK Poltava PPG 0.46
0-4 HIT CS3
Shakhtar logo Shakhtar PPG 2.23
Home· +196.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 9.3%
Odds: 46.00 EV: +196.7%
Draw 21.9%
Odds: 10.00 EV: +71.4%
Away 68.8%
Odds: 1.02 EV: -29.8%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.25 -22.9%
Over 3.5 54.8% Odds: 1.42 -22.2%
BTTS 50.8% Odds: 2.85 +44.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-3
2nd 0-2
3rd 0-4
4th 1-3
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

SK Poltava
0.60
Shakhtar
3.31

Model Suggestion

Away -29.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -29.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+196.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 63%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -3.6%
Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs Home POOR (0.46)

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