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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 36 Estadio Anxo Carro· Lugo Sunday, May 10, 2026 12:15
Lugo logo Lugo PPG 1.71
1-3 MISS
Zamora logo Zamora PPG 1.35
Over2.5· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.3%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -13.5%
Draw 29.2%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -7.4%
Away 35.6%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -0.3%
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.30 +5.3%
Over 3.5 14.7% Odds: 4.33 -21.8%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.90 -8.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Lugo
0.98
Zamora
1.04

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.35)

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