Today / Aberdeen W vs Hamilton A. W

Aberdeen W vs Hamilton A. W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Aberdeen W
PPG 0.64 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Hamilton A. W
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.1%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.9%1-13.9%1-22.0%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.9%2-16.8%2-23.4%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.0%3-18.0%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-017.0%4+-117.0%4+-28.5%4+-32.8%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 70.7%
Draw 20.6%
Away win 8.7%
Over 2.5 69.8%
Over 3.5 65.5%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.8%

H 71% / xG 3.5-1.0 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.0%
#2 3–1 8.0%
#3 4–0 6.9%
#4 4–1 6.9%
#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aberdeen W3.5
Hamilton A. W1.0

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ABERDEEN W · PPG 0.64

HAMILTON A. W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Aberdeen W (H) 70.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hamilton A. W (A) 8.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aberdeen W face Hamilton A. W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aberdeen W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Hamilton A. W 9%, so Aberdeen W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Aberdeen W and 1.0 for Hamilton A. W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aberdeen W are averaging 0.64 points per game versus 0.00 for Hamilton A. W. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

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