Today / RBC vs Blauw Geel 38

RBC vs Blauw Geel 38 Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

RBC

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Blauw Geel 38

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.4%0-23.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.0%1-18.9%1-26.7%1-33.3%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.1%3-16.2%3-24.6%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.0%4+-23.7%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 47.0% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.8%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1✓ 9.1%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RBC2.0

Blauw Geel 381.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RBC · PPG 2.00

BLAUW GEEL 38 · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

RBC (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Blauw Geel 38 (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RBC face Blauw Geel 38 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RBC a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Blauw Geel 38 25%, so RBC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for RBC and 1.5 for Blauw Geel 38 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RBC are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.60 for Blauw Geel 38. This match finished 2-1.

RBC vs Blauw Geel 38 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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