Today / Greuther F. B vs Unterhaching

Greuther F. B vs Unterhaching Prediction

Bayern - 29 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Greuther F. B

PPG 1.07 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Unterhaching

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.93) vs Home AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-110.5%0-211.3%0-38.1%0-4+7.1%1 1-04.3%1-19.1%1-29.8%1-37.0%1-4+6.2%2 2-01.8%2-14.0%2-24.3%2-33.0%2-4+2.7%3 3-00.5%3-11.1%3-21.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% — — —

Draw 19.3% — — —

Away win 66.7% — — —

Over 2.5 58.0% — — —

Over 3.5 35.6% — — —

BTTS 51.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob51.2%

A 67% / xG 0.9-2.1 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.3%

#2 0–1 10.5%

#3 1–2✓ 9.8%

#4 1–1 9.1%

#5 0–3 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Greuther F. B0.9

Unterhaching2.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.0% · O3.5 PROB 35.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GREUTHER F. B · PPG 1.07

UNTERHACHING · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.93) vs Home AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Greuther F. B (H) 14.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Unterhaching (A) 66.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Greuther F. B face Unterhaching on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Greuther F. B a 14% chance, the draw 19% and Unterhaching 67%, so Unterhaching are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Greuther F. B and 2.1 for Unterhaching (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Greuther F. B are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.93 for Unterhaching. This match finished 1-2.

Greuther F. B vs Unterhaching Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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