Today / Frankfurt B W vs T. Potsdam W

Frankfurt B W vs T. Potsdam W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Frankfurt B W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
T. Potsdam W
PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.6%0-24.3%0-32.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-06.4%1-19.9%1-27.6%1-33.9%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.8%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.4%3-15.2%3-24.0%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.5%4+-22.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.9%
Draw 24.8%
Away win 34.3%
Over 2.5 60.2%
Over 3.5 42.5%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.8%

H 41% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%
#2 2–1 8.8%
#3 1–2 7.6%
#4 2–2 6.8%
#5 2–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Frankfurt B W1.8
T. Potsdam W1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FRANKFURT B W · PPG 1.00

T. POTSDAM W · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Frankfurt B W (H) 40.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
T. Potsdam W (A) 34.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Frankfurt B W face T. Potsdam W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Frankfurt B W a 41% chance, the draw 25% and T. Potsdam W 34%, so Frankfurt B W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Frankfurt B W and 1.5 for T. Potsdam W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Frankfurt B W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.92 for T. Potsdam W. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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