Today / Bochum W vs Mgladbach W
Bochum W vs Mgladbach W Prediction
Sunday, May 10, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 49% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.3%
Form & verdict
BOCHUM W · PPG 0.92
MGLADBACH W · PPG 0.92
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.92), Away POOR (0.92)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Bochum W face Mgladbach W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bochum W a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Mgladbach W 25%, so Bochum W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bochum W and 1.2 for Mgladbach W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bochum W are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 0.92 for Mgladbach W. This match finished 1-4.