Today / Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 / Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili

Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00

Odishi 1919

PPG 1.80 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Merani Martvili

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-110.3%0-27.4%0-33.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.5%1-112.3%1-28.9%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.1%2-17.4%2-25.3%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.0%3-12.9%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% 44.4% 2.25 -24.2%

Draw 25.8% 30.3% 3.30 -8.9%

Away win 40.5% 36.4% 2.75 +11.4%

Over 2.5 52.8% 55.6% 1.80 -5.0%

Over 3.5 27.3% 35.3% 2.83 -13.6%

BTTS 54.6% 62.5% 1.60 -12.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 40% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.1%

#3 1–2✓ 8.9%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odishi 19191.2

Merani Martvili1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ODISHI 1919 · PPG 1.80

MERANI MARTVILI · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Odishi 1919 (H) 33.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -24.2%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -8.9%

Merani Martvili (A) 40.5%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odishi 1919 face Merani Martvili in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odishi 1919 a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Merani Martvili 41%, so Merani Martvili are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Odishi 1919 and 1.4 for Merani Martvili (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odishi 1919 are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.60 for Merani Martvili. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Predictions