Today / Zhejiang vs Tianjin JT

Zhejiang vs Tianjin JT Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Zhejiang
PPG 1.60 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Tianjin JT
PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-110.4%0-26.3%0-32.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.7%1-112.9%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.7%2-18.0%2-24.9%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.8%3-13.3%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.7%
Draw 27.4%
Away win 35.9%
Over 2.5 46.5%
Over 3.5 23.2%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 17%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

H 37% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 0–0 8.6%
#3 1–0 10.7%
#4 0–1 10.4%
#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zhejiang1.2
Tianjin JT1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.60

TIANJIN JT · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Zhejiang (H) 36.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Tianjin JT (A) 35.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zhejiang face Tianjin JT on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zhejiang a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Tianjin JT 36%, so Zhejiang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Zhejiang and 1.2 for Tianjin JT (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zhejiang are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.40 for Tianjin JT. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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