Today / L. Longyuan vs Qingdao RL
L. Longyuan vs Qingdao RL Prediction
Sunday, May 10, 2026
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 44% / xG 0.5-0.6 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 2.6%
Form & verdict
L. LONGYUAN · PPG 0.67
QINGDAO RL · PPG 0.33
Home slight advantage: POOR (0.67) > Away POOR (0.33)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
L. Longyuan face Qingdao RL on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives L. Longyuan a 27% chance, the draw 44% and Qingdao RL 30%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for L. Longyuan and 0.6 for Qingdao RL (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, L. Longyuan are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.33 for Qingdao RL. This match finished 1-3.