Today / Foshan Nanshi vs Suzhou Dongwu

Foshan Nanshi vs Suzhou Dongwu Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Foshan Nanshi
PPG 0.00 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Suzhou Dongwu
PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-113.2%0-25.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.6%1-113.4%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.9%2-16.8%2-22.9%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.7%3-12.3%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.9%
Draw 35.0%
Away win 27.1%
Over 2.5 35.1%
Over 3.5 12.1%
BTTS 48.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.2%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.4%
#2 1–1 13.4%
#3 1–0 15.6%
#4 0–1 13.2%
#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Foshan Nanshi1.0
Suzhou Dongwu0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 12.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FOSHAN NANSHI · PPG 0.00

SUZHOU DONGWU · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Foshan Nanshi (H) 37.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 35.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Suzhou Dongwu (A) 27.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Foshan Nanshi face Suzhou Dongwu on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Foshan Nanshi a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Suzhou Dongwu 27%, so Foshan Nanshi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Foshan Nanshi and 0.9 for Suzhou Dongwu (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Foshan Nanshi are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Suzhou Dongwu. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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