Today / T. Wilhelmsburg vs Halstenbek-R.

T. Wilhelmsburg vs Halstenbek-R. Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

T. Wilhelmsburg
PPG 0.93 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O3.5
Halstenbek-R.
PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.9%0-21.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-01.3%1-13.0%1-23.3%1-32.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-02.1%2-14.8%2-25.4%2-34.1%2-4+3.9%3 3-02.3%3-15.2%3-25.9%3-34.4%3-4+4.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-19.7%4+-211.0%4+-38.3%4+-4+7.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.6%
Draw 22.2%
Away win 26.2%
Over 2.5 78.8%
Over 3.5 80.1%
BTTS 66.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 62%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)3.3 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob66.7%

H 52% / xG 3.3-2.3 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.9%
#2 2–2 5.4%
#3 3–1 5.2%
#4 4–2 4.8%
#5 2–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Wilhelmsburg3.3
Halstenbek-R.2.3

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 80.1%

Form & verdict PPG

T. WILHELMSBURG · PPG 0.93

HALSTENBEK-R. · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.93) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

T. Wilhelmsburg (H) 51.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Halstenbek-R. (A) 26.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Wilhelmsburg face Halstenbek-R. on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Wilhelmsburg a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Halstenbek-R. 26%, so T. Wilhelmsburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for T. Wilhelmsburg and 2.3 for Halstenbek-R. (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Wilhelmsburg are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.25 for Halstenbek-R.. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org