Today / Liaoning Tieren vs Yunnan Yukun
Liaoning Tieren vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction
Sunday, May 10, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 44% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.0% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%
Form & verdict
LIAONING TIEREN · PPG 1.50
YUNNAN YUKUN · PPG 1.20
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Liaoning Tieren face Yunnan Yukun on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liaoning Tieren a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Yunnan Yukun 44%, so Yunnan Yukun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Liaoning Tieren and 1.8 for Yunnan Yukun (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liaoning Tieren are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.20 for Yunnan Yukun. This match finished 1-2.