Today / Bayern Alzenau vs Grossaspach

Bayern Alzenau vs Grossaspach Prediction

Südwest - 29 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Bayern Alzenau

PPG 1.23 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Grossaspach

PPG 2.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.9%0-25.5%0-36.9%0-4+17.5%1 1-00.8%1-13.2%1-26.0%1-37.6%1-4+19.0%2 2-00.5%2-11.7%2-23.3%2-34.1%2-4+10.4%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-21.2%3-31.5%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 6.3% — — —

Draw 9.2% — — —

Away win 84.5% — — —

Over 2.5 86.2% — — —

Over 3.5 71.4% — — —

BTTS 64.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 88%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)3.8 BTTS prob64.8%

A 84% / xG 1.1-3.8 / O2.5 86% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.6%

#2 1–4✓ 7.1%

#3 0–3 6.9%

#4 0–4 6.5%

#5 1–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayern Alzenau1.1

Grossaspach3.8

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 86.2% · O3.5 PROB 71.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYERN ALZENAU · PPG 1.23

GROSSASPACH · PPG 2.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs Home AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Bayern Alzenau (H) 6.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 9.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Grossaspach (A) 84.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayern Alzenau face Grossaspach on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayern Alzenau a 6% chance, the draw 9% and Grossaspach 85%, so Grossaspach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Bayern Alzenau and 3.8 for Grossaspach (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayern Alzenau are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 2.15 for Grossaspach. This match finished 1-4.

Bayern Alzenau vs Grossaspach Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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