Today / Shaanxi Union vs Shanghai Jiadin

Shaanxi Union vs Shanghai Jiadin Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Shaanxi Union
PPG 2.00 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Shanghai Jiadin
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.0%0-115.4%0-24.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.6%1-111.6%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.4%2-14.4%2-21.3%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.9%3-11.1%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.8%
Draw 41.0%
Away win 24.2%
Over 2.5 25.8%
Over 3.5 4.8%
BTTS 41.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob41.8%

H 35% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.0%
#2 1–0 19.6%
#3 0–1 15.4%
#4 1–1 11.6%
#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shaanxi Union0.8
Shanghai Jiadin0.6

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 4.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SHAANXI UNION · PPG 2.00

SHANGHAI JIADIN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=34.8%

Win probability 1X2

Shaanxi Union (H) 34.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 41.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Shanghai Jiadin (A) 24.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shaanxi Union face Shanghai Jiadin on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shaanxi Union a 35% chance, the draw 41% and Shanghai Jiadin 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Shaanxi Union and 0.6 for Shanghai Jiadin (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shaanxi Union are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Shanghai Jiadin. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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