Today / Harima W vs Iga Kunoichi W

Harima W vs Iga Kunoichi W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Harima W
PPG 0.67 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Iga Kunoichi W
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-112.6%0-28.0%0-33.4%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.4%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.4%2-16.8%2-24.3%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.9%3-12.4%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.7%
Draw 28.9%
Away win 36.4%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Over 3.5 20.2%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%
#2 0–0 10.0%
#3 0–1 12.6%
#4 1–0 10.4%
#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Harima W1.0
Iga Kunoichi W1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HARIMA W · PPG 0.67

IGA KUNOICHI W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Harima W (H) 34.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Iga Kunoichi W (A) 36.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Harima W face Iga Kunoichi W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Harima W a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Iga Kunoichi W 36%, so Iga Kunoichi W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Harima W and 1.3 for Iga Kunoichi W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Harima W are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Iga Kunoichi W. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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