Today / Melbourne C. B vs Bentleigh G.
Melbourne C. B vs Bentleigh G. Prediction
Sunday, May 10, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 54% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 35.0%
Form & verdict
MELBOURNE C. B · PPG 1.00
BENTLEIGH G. · PPG 0.67
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.67)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Melbourne C. B face Bentleigh G. on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Melbourne C. B a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Bentleigh G. 21%, so Melbourne C. B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Melbourne C. B and 0.9 for Bentleigh G. (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Melbourne C. B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Bentleigh G.. This match finished 6-4.