Today / Kamogawa W vs S. Sfida W

Kamogawa W vs S. Sfida W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Kamogawa W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

S. Sfida W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-13.1%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.6%1-17.7%1-23.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.4%2-19.5%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.8%3-17.8%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-18.7%4+-24.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.5% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 19.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 46.0% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.8%

H 58% / xG 2.5-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%

#2 2–0 9.4%

#3 1–1 7.7%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 3–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kamogawa W2.5

S. Sfida W1.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 46.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KAMOGAWA W · PPG 2.00

S. SFIDA W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=58.5%

Win probability 1X2

Kamogawa W (H) 58.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Sfida W (A) 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kamogawa W face S. Sfida W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kamogawa W a 59% chance, the draw 22% and S. Sfida W 20%, so Kamogawa W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Kamogawa W and 1.0 for S. Sfida W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kamogawa W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for S. Sfida W. This match finished 1-3.

Kamogawa W vs S. Sfida W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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