Today / Newcastle O. vs Lambton Jaffas

Newcastle O. vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Newcastle O.

PPG 0.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Lambton Jaffas

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.5%0-23.2%0-32.7%0-4+3.3%1 1-02.0%1-15.1%1-26.6%1-35.7%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.0%2-15.3%2-26.8%2-35.9%2-4+7.1%3 3-01.4%3-13.6%3-24.7%3-34.1%3-4+4.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-13.0%4+-23.9%4+-33.4%4+-4+4.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.4% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 42.2% — — —

Over 2.5 73.3% — — —

Over 3.5 68.4% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob66.7%

A 42% / xG 2.1-2.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 1–2 6.6%

#3 2–3 5.9%

#4 1–1 5.1%

#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Newcastle O.2.1

Lambton Jaffas2.6

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 68.4%

Form & verdict PPG

NEWCASTLE O. · PPG 0.50

LAMBTON JAFFAS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Newcastle O. (H) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lambton Jaffas (A) 42.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Newcastle O. face Lambton Jaffas on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newcastle O. a 34% chance, the draw 23% and Lambton Jaffas 42%, so Lambton Jaffas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Newcastle O. and 2.6 for Lambton Jaffas (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newcastle O. are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Lambton Jaffas. This match finished 0-2.

Newcastle O. vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions