Tampa Bay Sun W vs Carolina A. W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

USA - USL Super League Regular Season - 27 Riverfront Stadium Saturday, April 25, 2026 23:30

Tampa Bay Sun W PPG 0.67

1-2 MISS

Carolina A. W PPG 2.00

Away· +6.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tampa Bay Sun W face Carolina A. W in USA - USL Super League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tampa Bay Sun W a 20% chance, the draw 28% and Carolina A. W 52%, so Carolina A. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Tampa Bay Sun W and 1.4 for Carolina A. W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tampa Bay Sun W are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 2.00 for Carolina A. W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.2%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -34.4%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -19.4%

Away 52.0%

Odds: 2.05 EV: +6.6%

Model lean: Away

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 16.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.3% Odds: 1.83 -28.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Tampa Bay Sun W

0.74

Carolina A. W

1.38

Model SuggestionAway +6.6% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.67)