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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 13 Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda· Quito Saturday, May 9, 2026 21:30
Aucas logo Aucas PPG 1.67
2-1 MISS
U. Catolica logo U. Catolica PPG 1.20
Draw· +22.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.3%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -22.3%
Draw 35.6%
Odds: 3.45 EV: +22.8%
Away 37.0%
Odds: 2.88 EV: +6.6%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: 1.85 -35.1%
Over 3.5 9.8% Odds: 3.25 -40.9%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.67 -23.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Aucas
0.75
U. Catolica
0.98

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

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