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Ecuador - Liga Pro
Regular Season - 13
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda· Quito
Saturday, May 9, 2026
21:30
Aucas
PPG 1.67
2-1
MISS
U. Catolica
PPG 1.20
Draw· +22.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
27.3%
Odds: 2.30
EV: -22.3%
Draw
35.6%
Odds: 3.45
EV: +22.8%
Away
37.0%
Odds: 2.88
EV: +6.6%
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.1%
Odds: 1.85
-35.1%
Over 3.5
9.8%
Odds: 3.25
-40.9%
BTTS
45.9%
Odds: 1.67
-23.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Aucas
0.75
U. Catolica
0.98
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 44 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
43%
O2.5/Under
48%
BTTS/No
52%
Score Hit
50%
ROI
1.8%
Bet Hit
53%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)