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Venezuela - Primera División logo Venezuela flag Venezuela - Primera División Apertura - Quadrangular - 2 Estadio Olimpico de la UCV· Caracas Saturday, May 9, 2026 20:00
D. La Guaira logo D. La Guaira PPG 2.00
1-1 HIT CS3
Portuguesa logo Portuguesa PPG 1.00
Draw· +7.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.7%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -22.9%
Draw 33.6%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +7.5%
Away 24.7%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -0.7%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: 2.15 -24.5%
Over 3.5 7.2% Odds: 3.90 -43.1%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.90 -12.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

D. La Guaira
0.96
Portuguesa
0.59

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=41.7%

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