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Venezuela - Primera División
Apertura - Quadrangular - 2
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV· Caracas
Saturday, May 9, 2026
20:00
D. La Guaira
PPG 2.00
1-1
HIT CS3
Portuguesa
PPG 1.00
Draw· +7.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
41.7%
Odds: 1.85
EV: -22.9%
Draw
33.6%
Odds: 3.20
EV: +7.5%
Away
24.7%
Odds: 4.00
EV: -0.7%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.1%
Odds: 2.15
-24.5%
Over 3.5
7.2%
Odds: 3.90
-43.1%
BTTS
45.9%
Odds: 1.90
-12.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✔
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
D. La Guaira
0.96
Portuguesa
0.59
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=41.7%